EX-99.1 2 ex_869604.htm EXHIBIT 99.1 ex_869604.htm

Exhibit 99.1

 

ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL ANNOUNCES

ESTIMATED THIRD QUARTER 2025 RESULTS,

OCTOBER 2025 MONTHLY DIVIDEND AND

 SEPTEMBER 30, 2025 RMBS PORTFOLIO CHARACTERISTICS

 

 

October 2025 Monthly Dividend of $0.12 Per Share of Common Stock

  Estimated Book Value Per Share as of September 30, 2025 of $7.33
  Estimated GAAP net income of $0.53 per share for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, including an estimated $0.37 per share of net realized and unrealized gains on RMBS and derivative instruments
  Estimated 6.6% total return on equity for the quarter ended September 30, 2025
  Estimated book value, net income and total return on equity amounts are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm
 

RMBS Portfolio Characteristics as of September 30, 2025

 

Next Dividend Announcement Expected November 12, 2025

 

Vero Beach, Fla., October 15, 2025 - Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (the “Company”) (NYSE: ORC) announced today that the Board of Directors of the Company declared a monthly cash dividend for the month of October 2025. The dividend of $0.12 per share will be paid November 26, 2025 to holders of record of the Company’s common stock on October 31, 2025, with an ex-dividend date of October 31, 2025. The Company plans on announcing its next common stock dividend on November 12, 2025.

 

The Company intends to make regular monthly cash distributions to its holders of common stock. In order to qualify as a real estate investment trust (“REIT”), the Company must distribute annually to its stockholders an amount at least equal to 90% of its REIT taxable income, determined without regard to the deduction for dividends paid and excluding any net capital gain. The Company will be subject to income tax on taxable income that is not distributed and to an excise tax to the extent that a certain percentage of its taxable income is not distributed by specified dates. The Company has not established a minimum distribution payment level and is not assured of its ability to make distributions to stockholders in the future.

 

As of October 15, 2025, the Company has 151,712,160 shares of common stock outstanding. As of September 30, 2025, the Company had 148,239,401 shares of common stock outstanding. As of June 30, 2025, the Company had 126,566,926 shares of common stock outstanding.

 

Estimated September 30, 2025 Book Value Per Share

 

The Company’s estimated book value per share as of September 30, 2025 was $7.33.  The Company computes book value per share by dividing total stockholders' equity by the total number of outstanding shares of common stock. At September 30, 2025, the Company's preliminary estimated total stockholders' equity was approximately $1,086.1 million with 148,239,401 shares of common stock outstanding. These figures and the resulting estimated book value per share are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm. 

 

Estimated Net Income Per Share and Realized and Unrealized Gains on RMBS and Derivative Instruments

 

The Company estimates it generated a net income per share of $0.53 for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, which includes an estimated $0.37 per share of net realized and unrealized gains on RMBS and derivative instruments. These amounts compare to total dividends declared during the quarter of $0.36 per share. Net income per common share calculated under generally accepted accounting principles can, and does, differ from our REIT taxable income.  The Company views REIT taxable income as a better indication of income to be paid in the form of a dividend rather than net income. Many components of REIT taxable income can only be estimated at this time and our monthly dividends declared are based on both estimates of REIT taxable income to be earned over the course of the current quarter and calendar year and a longer-term estimate of the REIT taxable income of the Company. These figures are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm. 

 

Estimated Total Return on Equity

 

The Company’s estimated total return on equity for the quarter ended September 30, 2025 was 6.6%. The Company calculates total return on equity as the sum of dividends declared and paid during the quarter plus changes in book value during the quarter, divided by the Company’s stockholders’ equity at the beginning of the quarter.  The total return was $0.48 per share, comprised of dividends per share of $0.36 and an increase in book value per share of $0.12 from June 30, 2025.

 

 

 

RMBS Portfolio Characteristics

 

Details of the RMBS portfolio as of September 30, 2025 are presented below. These figures are preliminary and subject to change and, with respect to figures that will appear in the Company’s financial statements and associated footnotes as of and for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, are subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm:

 

 

RMBS Valuation Characteristics

 

RMBS Assets by Agency

 

Investment Company Act of 1940 (Whole Pool) Test Results

 

Repurchase Agreement Exposure by Counterparty

 

RMBS Risk Measures

 

About Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

 

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. is a specialty finance company that invests on a leveraged basis in Agency RMBS. Our investment strategy focuses on, and our portfolio consists of, two categories of Agency RMBS: (i) traditional pass-through Agency RMBS, such as mortgage pass-through certificates and collateralized mortgage obligations issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or Ginnie Mae, and (ii) structured Agency RMBS. The Company is managed by Bimini Advisors, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

 

Forward-Looking Statements

 

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and other federal securities laws. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements about the Company’s distributions. These forward-looking statements are based upon Orchid Island Capital, Inc.’s present expectations, but these statements are not guaranteed to occur. Investors should not place undue reliance upon forward-looking statements. For further discussion of the factors that could affect outcomes, please refer to the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024.

 

 

RMBS Valuation Characteristics

 

($ in thousands)

                                                                                               
                                                                         

Realized

       
                                                                   

Realized

   

Jul-25 -

       
                                                                    Sep-25     Sep-25        
                                   

Net

                   

Weighted

   

CPR

   

CPR

       
                                    Weighted                     Average     (1-Month)     (3-Month)     Modeled Interest  
   

Current

   

Fair

   

% of

   

Current

   

Average

                   

Maturity

   

(Reported

   

(Reported

   

Rate Sensitivity (1)

 

Type

 

Face

   

Value

   

Portfolio

   

Price

   

Coupon

   

GWAC

   

Age

   

(Months)

   

in Oct)

   

in Oct)

   

(-50 BPS)

   

(+50 BPS)

 

Fixed Rate RMBS

                                                                                               

15yr 5.0 TBA

  $ 250,000     $ 252,715       2.94 %     101.09       5.00 %     5.84 %     5       173       n/a       n/a     $ 2,828     $ (3,460 )

15yr Total

    250,000       252,715       2.94 %     101.09       5.00 %     5.84 %     5       173       n/a       n/a       2,828       (3,460 )

30yr 3.0

    834,430     $ 748,807       8.70 %     89.74       3.00 %     3.48 %     55       297       7.2 %     7.3 %     21,717       (21,982 )

30yr 3.5

    162,600       151,190       1.76 %     92.98       3.50 %     4.04 %     67       279       4.9 %     8.4 %     4,077       (4,125 )

30yr 4.0

    156,219       148,920       1.73 %     95.33       4.00 %     4.70 %     53       302       9.5 %     8.4 %     3,745       (3,920 )

30yr 4.5

    278,735       272,292       3.16 %     97.69       4.50 %     5.44 %     39       317       8.6 %     11.1 %     5,499       (6,127 )

30yr 5.0

    447,224       446,473       5.19 %     99.83       5.00 %     5.93 %     32       323       6.2 %     8.2 %     8,557       (9,859 )

30yr 5.5

    1,835,701       1,870,044       21.72 %     101.87       5.50 %     6.45 %     11       345       6.3 %     6.1 %     28,021       (35,803 )

30yr 6.0

    2,804,917       2,892,624       33.60 %     103.13       6.00 %     6.94 %     12       344       9.7 %     10.0 %     28,122       (40,190 )

30yr 6.5

    1,488,120       1,553,110       18.04 %     104.37       6.50 %     7.39 %     15       340       13.9 %     13.5 %     9,806       (15,382 )

30yr 7.0

    245,769       258,440       3.00 %     105.16       7.00 %     7.94 %     23       328       28.2 %     24.3 %     1,782       (2,261 )

30yr Total

    8,253,715       8,341,900       96.90 %     101.07       5.51 %     6.39 %     21       334       9.7 %     10.1 %     111,326       (139,649 )

Total Pass-Through RMBS

    8,503,715       8,594,615       99.84 %     101.07       5.50 %     6.37 %     20       329       9.7 %     10.1 %     114,154       (143,109 )

Structured RMBS

                                                                                               

IO 20yr 4.0

    5,743       473       0.01 %     8.23       4.00 %     4.57 %     164       70       11.6 %     12.5 %     2       (2 )

IO 30yr 3.0

    2,391       318       0.00 %     13.28       3.00 %     3.64 %     128       222       1.5 %     10.6 %     (1 )     (1 )

IO 30yr 4.0

    65,885       12,316       0.14 %     18.70       4.00 %     4.60 %     133       218       9.9 %     7.7 %     (286 )     181  

IO 30yr 4.5

    2,862       553       0.01 %     19.31       4.50 %     4.99 %     183       164       9.1 %     7.2 %     (7 )     3  

IO 30yr 5.0

    1,503       314       0.00 %     20.87       5.00 %     5.37 %     183       164       19.0 %     12.2 %     (6 )     3  

IO Total

    78,384       13,974       0.16 %     17.83       4.01 %     4.59 %     138       204       10.0 %     8.2 %     (298 )     184  

IIO 30yr 4.0

    18,392       206       0.00 %     1.12       0.00 %     4.40 %     96       252       0.6 %     7.7 %     115       (81 )

Total Structured RMBS

    96,776       14,180       0.16 %     14.65       3.25 %     4.56 %     130       213       8.2 %     8.1 %     (183 )     103  
                                                                                                 

Total Mortgage Assets

  $ 8,600,491     $ 8,608,795       100.00 %             5.47 %     6.35 %     22       328       9.7 %     10.1 %   $ 113,971     $ (143,006 )

 

       

Hedge

 

Modeled Interest

 
   

Notional

 

Period

 

Rate Sensitivity (1)

 

Hedge

 

Balance

 

End

 

(-50 BPS)

   

(+50 BPS)

 

3-Month SOFR Futures

  $ (390,000 )

Sep-26

  $ (3,413 )   $ 3,413  

5-Year Treasury Future(2)

    (562,500 )

Dec-25

    (11,785 )     11,521  

10-Year Treasury Future(3)

    (228,500 )

Dec-25

    (7,529 )     7,351  

10-Year Ultra Treasury Future(4)

    (197,500 )

Dec-25

    (8,938 )     8,507  

5-Year ERIS SOFR Swap Futures

    (10,000 )

Dec-25

    (234 )     226  

Swaps

    (3,943,300 )

Feb-31

    (97,663 )     94,426  

TBA Short

    (282,000 )

Oct-25

    (3,295 )     4,628  

Hedge Total

  $ (5,613,800 )     $ (132,857 )   $ 130,072  

Rate Shock Grand Total

            $ (18,886 )   $ (12,934 )

 

(1)

Modeled results from Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Yield Book. Interest rate shocks assume instantaneous parallel shifts and horizon prices are calculated assuming constant SOFR option-adjusted spreads. These results are for illustrative purposes only and actual results may differ materially.

(2) Five-year Treasury futures contracts were valued at prices of $109.20 at September 30, 2025. The market value of the short position was  $614.3 million.
(3) Ten-year Treasury futures contracts were valued at prices of $112.50 at September 30, 2025. The market value of the short position was $257.1 million.

(4)

Ten-year Ultra futures contracts were valued at prices of $115.08 at September 30, 2025. The market value of the short position was $227.3 million.

 

 

RMBS Assets by Agency

               

($ in thousands)

               
           

Percentage

 
   

Fair

   

of

 

Asset Category

 

Value

   

Portfolio

 

As of September 30, 2025

               

Fannie Mae

  $ 4,741,968       56.7 %

Freddie Mac

    3,614,112       43.3 %

Total Mortgage Assets

  $ 8,356,080       100.0 %

 

 

Investment Company Act of 1940 Whole Pool Test

 

($ in thousands)

               
           

Percentage

 
   

Fair

   

of

 

Asset Category

 

Value

   

Portfolio

 

As of September 30, 2025

               

Non-Whole Pool Assets

  $ 654,750       7.8 %

Whole Pool Assets

    7,701,330       92.2 %

Total Mortgage Assets

  $ 8,356,080       100.0 %

 

 

Borrowings By Counterparty

                                 

($ in thousands)

                                 
                   

Weighted

   

Weighted

   
           

% of

   

Average

   

Average

   
   

Total

   

Total

   

Repo

   

Maturity

 

Longest

As of September 30, 2025

 

Borrowings

   

Debt

   

Rate

   

in Days

 

Maturity

J.P. Morgan Securities LLC

  $ 511,662       6.4 %     4.34 %     20  

10/23/2025

Citigroup Global Markets Inc

    437,979       5.5 %     4.42 %     34  

12/1/2025

DV Securities, LLC Repo

    389,984       4.9 %     4.37 %     36  

11/25/2025

ABN AMRO Bank N.V.

    377,931       4.7 %     4.25 %     42  

12/15/2025

Wells Fargo Securities, LLC

    371,202       4.6 %     4.45 %     14  

10/28/2025

The Bank of Nova Scotia

    369,533       4.6 %     4.39 %     20  

10/23/2025

Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith

    362,023       4.5 %     4.34 %     70  

2/13/2026

ASL Capital Markets Inc.

    359,654       4.5 %     4.16 %     126  

9/21/2026

Bank of Montreal

    358,926       4.5 %     4.38 %     30  

11/28/2025

South Street Securities, LLC

    344,604       4.3 %     4.31 %     81  

8/27/2026

Goldman, Sachs & Co

    337,376       4.2 %     4.34 %     27  

10/29/2025

StoneX Financial Inc.

    332,143       4.1 %     4.30 %     20  

10/20/2025

Mirae Asset Securities (USA) Inc.

    331,786       4.1 %     4.29 %     35  

11/13/2025

Daiwa Securities America Inc.

    329,915       4.1 %     4.17 %     135  

3/23/2026

Cantor Fitzgerald & Co

    319,230       4.0 %     4.34 %     25  

10/27/2025

Clear Street LLC

    307,707       3.8 %     4.35 %     20  

10/31/2025

Marex Capital Markets Inc.

    302,480       3.8 %     4.32 %     31  

12/11/2025

RBC Capital Markets, LLC

    298,220       3.7 %     4.27 %     56  

11/25/2025

ING Financial Markets LLC

    291,011       3.6 %     4.32 %     17  

10/17/2025

Banco Santander SA

    265,981       3.3 %     4.38 %     16  

10/16/2025

MUFG Securities Canada, Ltd.

    255,958       3.2 %     4.38 %     8  

10/8/2025

Mitsubishi UFJ Securities (USA), Inc.

    246,210       3.1 %     4.44 %     16  

10/20/2025

Mizuho Securities USA LLC

    207,561       2.6 %     4.34 %     23  

10/27/2025

Nomura Securities International, Inc.

    158,100       2.0 %     4.41 %     14  

10/14/2025

Natixis, New York Branch

    104,895       1.3 %     4.34 %     29  

10/29/2025

Lucid Prime Fund, LLC

    34,907       0.4 %     4.34 %     16  

10/16/2025

Total Borrowings

  $ 8,006,978       100.0 %     4.33 %     39  

9/21/2026

 

Contact:

 

Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

Robert E. Cauley

3305 Flamingo Drive, Vero Beach, Florida 32963

Telephone: (772) 231-1400